Tag Archives: elections

Coalition Building in MAGA Times

Future Hope, ,

Over the years since I became a progressive activist and organizer in 1968 I’ve been part of an awful lot of coalitions on an awful lot of issues: the Vietnam war, impeaching Nixon, Puerto Rican independence, tenants’ rights, the Rainbow Coalition, independent politics, fighting new fossil fuel infrastructure, supporting solar energy, racial justice, Palestinian freedom and more. I’ve done this coalition work because it is a fundamental fact of successful organizing that in order to win victories, or stave off big defeats, people and groups who ordinarily don’t interact have to do so.

Victories aren’t won by small groups of people with a narrow social base. They’re won by lots of people joining together and using whatever tactics make sense to achieve a common objective.

Over the last three months a very surprising coalition has come together united behind the Presidential candidacy of Kamala Harris—“from Bernie and AOC to Liz and Dick Cheney.” Who would have thought such a coalition could ever happen?

Very broad coalitions happen because there is a major threat to lots of people. The impacts of the threat may be different, with some more negatively impacted than others, but all can see that they will be impacted.

Trump, a “fascist to the core” according to Trump’s former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, is such a major threat that this very strange, right-to-left, short-term coalition has come together behind the Democratic Party ticket of Harris and Walz.

Some leftists who are outraged, for good reason, by the Biden administration’s refusal to cut off military aid to Israel as it continues its genocidal war on Gaza have decided that, as a result, they can’t support Harris/Walz. They are willing to overlook Trump’s fascism and the certainty that a Trump Presidency will be even worse for the cause of Palestinian freedom.

As someone who has been demonstrating every week in northern New Jersey in support of a ceasefire, I fully understand why people have these feelings.

The anger and anguish I’ve felt since October 7th has been similar to the way I felt as a young person about the US government’s war in Vietnam in support of successive repressive regimes in what was then South Vietnam. Those feelings led me to turn in my draft card, burn an induction notice I received in response, and then take part in five Catholic Left actions nonviolently destroying Selective Service draft files and disabling bomb casings intended for use in Indochina. I ended up spending 11 months in prison in 1970-1971 for these actions.

While in prison I had time to read and reflect on what I had done and what was needed if the war was to be ended and US society fundamentally transformed away from war and racism to a truly peaceful and just society. Studying history, I came to realize that though the actions I had undertaken were good ones, appropriate because of the urgency, there was also a need for a broadly-based, massive movement demonstrating in the streets and taking action in other ways.

When I came out, this led to my eventual involvement in one of the major national coalitions working for an end to the war, the People’s Coalition for Peace and Justice. Ever since, whatever issue I have worked on, I was always willing to join together in coalition to increase the chances of winning.

My belief in the urgent importance of defeating fascist Trump has led me to do something I’ve never done before—work for Democratic Party candidates, from the Pennsylvania State House to the Presidency, within an official Democratic Party organizational structure. This Saturday and for a week or more after I’m going to be doing so in the Allentown, Pa. area, knocking on many hundreds of doors to help get out the Harris/Walz vote and hopefully persuade some undecideds to do the same.

It really is an all-hands-on-deck moment to preserve US democracy, a flawed democracy to be sure but one which up to now has made it possible for mass movements for progressive social change to win victories. Given the political strength of the MAGA forces and the existential danger they represent, I have no doubt that I and many of us around the country doing similar work are doing the right thing. The fascist threat, Trump, must be defeated on November 5th.

Ted Glick has been a progressive activist and organizer since 1968. He is the author of the recently published books, Burglar for Peace and 21st Century Revolution. More info can be found at https://tedglick.com.

Presidential Polling Anyone?

Future Hope, , , , ,

I was surprised recently when a good friend and sister progressive activist commented in the course of a discussion about the US Presidential campaign that polls were essentially useless. I was surprised by her statement and explained to her why I disagreed.

I have found that, historically, polling done by reputable, non-partisan companies is a good way to get the general lay of the land at particular moments in time for a competitive election race. However, I never go by any one poll, even one with a good reputation. It is important to look at a mix of them to get a pretty reliable understanding of the state of play.

Here’s a current example. Five days ago a NY Times/Sienna poll reported that the race between Harris and Trump was tied at 47-47. Two days ago a CBS poll had Harris ahead, 52-48, and an NBC poll had her ahead 49-44.

This reminded me of another NY Times poll which came out the day after Biden dropped out of the race July 21. That one had Trump ahead 49-43. Other polls had Biden down but more like by 3 or so points.

So it may be that the NY Times polls are somewhat of an outlier, too negative, for whatever reason.

And that is why it is necessary to look at more than one poll to get the most accurate view of the state of play.

Here’s where things are right now, using that methodology: averaging five reputable polls over the last week, done by CBS, NBC, NY Times, Economist and Forbes, Harris is ahead by about 3 ½ percentage points, 50-46 ½.

Of course, the winner of the national popular vote isn’t who becomes President. If we had that system Trump would never have been President. But he won in 2016 because of the anachronistic Electoral College. It is whoever wins the most of those votes who becomes the winner. That is why, this year, it’s the results in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada that will determine who wins. How do the national polls relate to that?

My understanding is that Harris would need to win the national popular vote by at least 2% to have a chance at winning enough of the battleground states to then win the election. So a 3 ½% margin with six weeks out is good, but not good enough. There’s clearly a need for all of us who get it on the great danger Trump represents to pitch in and do all we can until November 5.

What about the third party candidates?

There have been five polls over the last week and a half that have included Kennedy (still on some ballots despite his [outrageous] support of Trump), Stein, Oliver (Libertarian) and West. Averaging those polls, Kennedy is close to zero, Stein is at 1.2%, Oliver is at ½% and West is at 1.4%.

How is all of this helpful to progressive voters and activists?

One way it’s helpful is that, instead of being demobilized by understandable worry, it can give us hope of defeating Trump, which should then translate into postcard writing, phone calling and door knocking to encourage undecided voters to vote the right way and to increase those numbers. This is important because the race is still much closer than it should be. It is also important because the larger the vote for Harris, the more votes there will be down ballot for US Senate, the House and state and local elections. And progressive candidates almost always benefit from a large voter turnout.

In addition, the bigger the percentage for Harris, the more that will deflate Trump supporters and undercut MAGA’s efforts to disrupt the process leading toward a Harris inauguration on January 20.

Finally, for those whose anger at what US-supported Israel is doing in Gaza, the West Bank and now Lebanon make it hard to vote for Harris, a recent analysis by long-time labor and Black activist Bill Fletcher, Jr. really should be read and considered.

Ted Glick has been a progressive activist, organizer and writer since 1968. He is the author of the recently published books, Burglar for Peace and 21st Century Revolution. More info can be found at https://tedglick.com

Living to Fight Another Day

Future Hope, , , ,

“UE rarely makes endorsements within the two-party system, and we are not endorsing Biden. Instead, our hope for the future lies in a politically independent labor movement, and in those politicians in Congress and at the state and local level who are willing to put the working class first, not the Democratic Party. We encourage working people not to be completely distracted by the Presidential horse-race, and to pay close attention to their Congressional and state races.

“Nonetheless, we have to be honest about the dilemma that faces labor and working people in the short term. The issue that makes Biden the lesser evil for us is the fact that the labor movement, and especially UE, has been making some real gains in organizing new workers under Biden’s economic policies and NLRB. A second Trump presidency would make it far more difficult to organize — and to build the labor party we need and deserve.

“Given who will be on the ballot in November, we urge all working people to hold their nose and vote for Biden, in order to live to fight another day — the cost of re-electing Trump would be too high.”

-from “The Stakes of the 2024 Election,” issued by the United Electrical Workers Union: https://www.ueunion.org/political-action/2024/the-stakes-of-the-2024-election


Way back in the 70’s when I first became involved in organized efforts to form an alternative to the Democrats and Republicans, I had many meetings in the headquarters of the national UE. At the time, before their move to Pittsburgh, those headquarters were in midtown Manhattan, right across from St. Patrick’s Cathedral in a building that, I believe, used to be owned by the Vanderbilt family.

The UE describes itself as “the USA’s only national, independent, membership-run union (since 1936), representing thousands of workers in the private and public sectors.” As is true today, back in the 70’s they believed that working people in the USA need an alternative to the Dems and Reps, which then and now they describe as a “labor party.”

I had this privilege of meeting in their building because their General Counsel was Bob Lewis, and Bob was a leader of a group initiated by civil rights lawyer Arthur Kinoy in 1974, the Mass Party Organizing Committee. When I became involved with MPOC in 1975 and moved to NYC to work in its national office, we would often have evening meetings in Bob’s office.

So when I saw the UE’s statement on the Presidential elections a few days ago, I read it closely, respecting them as I do.

I pretty much agree with their conclusion, quoted above, that all working people should vote for Biden and also pay close attention to Congressional and state races. At the same time, given that it is the electoral college which determines who wins the Presidency, I think it is strategically key to emphasize the absolute importance of this happening in the battleground states: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada. In the vast majority of the other states, the likely winner is pretty much known based on past voting history.

The UE statement criticizes Biden for his unwillingness to take on corporations, for not doing enough “to rein in the power of the oil and gas industry,” for not taking action “to address the broken criminal justice system,” for not dealing with the underlying causes of immigration, the “failed economic and military policies toward Latin America,” and his failure to halt “Israel’s attack on the Palestinian people”  and the “stoking of a ‘new cold war” with Russia and China.

They go on to critique Trump, not a hard thing to do, referring to “his rhetoric taking on an increasingly fascist tone” and using the language of “vermin,” “human scum” and “poisoning the blood of our country” as far as immigrants.

I liked the phrase they used to conclude their statement: “vote for Biden in order to live to fight another day.”

Political dynamics in a country, definitely in the USA, are not stagnant. There is a rise and fall as far as movements around issues and movements for major political change. One current example is the difference between this Presidential election and the ones in 2016 and 2020. In both those years there were strong and visible progressive challenges via the Bernie Sanders, and then Sanders and Warren, campaigns. Sanders got 15 million votes in the 2016 Democratic primary, helping to generate a progressive political upsurge that has not gone away, even if there is no mass-based challenger to corporatist Biden this year either from within the Democratic Party or from a “third party.”

On the issues I agree much more with Presidential candidates like Jill Stein and Cornell West, but they are stuck in the very low single digits in all polls. The biggest impact they could have on the Presidential race is to help elect Trump. True!

What will happen after November 5 if Biden/Harris win? Almost certainly, the independent progressive forces will feel strengthened and revitalized, in a position to build upon that victory going forward.

But first things first: the defeat of Trump by voting for Biden. He’s a lesser evil, but he’s not a racist, misogynist, narcissistic fascist. Trump and MAGA Must Be Defeated.

 Ted Glick has been a progressive activist, organizer and writer since 1968. He is the author of the recently published books, Burglar for Peace and 21st Century Revolution. More info can be found at https://tedglick.com.